Yep...basically.
Heat-Pacers (tied 1-1)…With Chris Bosh, I would have taken Miami to win this series in 5 tough games (similarly to how Miami beat Chicago last year in 5 tough games). Without him, I think it goes at least 6 games. Indiana’s strengths (its frontcourt size and depth) are the Heat’s biggest weaknesses in the 1st place, and those soft spots are even further exasperated with Bosh sidelined. But while the Pacers are a very good team, I’m just not sure they are good enough to step on Miami’s throat in the situation either. In game 2, the Heat were basically playing 2-on-5 the entire time, as no one else other than the big 2 could even muster more than 5 measly points. Even before Bosh went down, it should have been obvious by now that their supporting cast is not exactly as good as Pat Riley envisioned. If Mario Chalmers was a little more consistent or they had the 2007 versions of Shane Battier, Mike Miller, and Udonis Haslem, it would be a different story…but they don’t, so it’s not. Miami could argue that James and Wade’s presence on the court still gets Miami’s role players makeable open looks, and if the Heat shot even a smidge better than 1 for 16 from 3-point land in game 2, they would be heading to Indiana up 2-0…but even that doesn’t seem likely. And I didn’t even mention the chances LeBron and Wade had at the end of last night’s game either!
With Bosh out, the Pacers have the potential to make life difficult for the Heat.
Spurs-Clippers (Spurs lead 1-0)…Well, that was kind of predictable. I actually think that LA matches up better with the Spurs than most people believe, but who could foresee San Antonio winning on their homecourt in game 1 after having a week to rest while the weary Clips just finished a grueling 7 game series with Memphis? The Clippers actually hung tight with the Spurs for a quarter in a half before San Antonio started going off from the 3-point line. The Spurs finished the game a ridiculous 13 for 25 from the arc. If LA is going to make this a long competitive series, they are going to have to amp-up their D, hope that the Spurs miss a little more often, and get Chris Paul going. CP3 made his 1st 2 shots of the game, then went 1 for 11 the rest of the way. That may all be predicated on getting stops though. The Spurs are like a well oiled machine on both ends of the court when they are able to set up and get organized. Even with a banged-up group, better defense would allow Paul, Griffin, and the other uptempo members of Lob City to get out and finish plays on the break though…just don’t count on the Spurs to lend any helping hands with poor execution.
CP3 and Lob City were grounded for most of game 1.
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